Ellis Park: Day 11, Friday, July 21, 2017

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Breeze Easy LLC’s Classic Cotton (black cap, at right), shown turning for home in the William Walker Stakes at Churchill Downs, returns to allowance company in the sixth race at Ellis Park on July 21. Photo by Coady Photography

 

Ellis Park Full-Card Analysis & Selections: Friday, July 21, 2017

Live racing returns to the Tri-State area on Friday, July 21 with a traditional eight-race program on the docket at Ellis Park in Henderson, Ky. The card offers a $10,041 carryover in the Pick 5 and has a pair of intriguing maiden races–one for juveniles and one for three-year-olds–in addition to a competitive turf sprint to be run under allowance conditions in the offing.

The Green Sheet gave out a pair winners on Sunday’s nine-race program at “The Pea Patch” in addition to a $132 trifecta in the sixth race on the card. For the meet to date, however, The Sheet has a negative 17 percent return on investment (ROI)*, or a flat-bet loss of 33 cents for each two dollars wagered on its top selections.

10 days into the summer stand at Ellis Park, The Sheet is winning at a 30 percent clip–its top selection in each race has finished in the money 60 percent of time.

For FREE full-card analysis and selections for the Friday, July 21 program at Ellis Park, click HERE.

*Return on investment is calculated by placing a hypothetical $2 win wager on all top selections and dividing the net profit by the total amount wagered.

 

Header image: “Fair High,” oil on board by Vaughn Flannery (American, 1898-1955)

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