Ellis Park: Day 4, Tuesday, July 4, 2017

next_shares_coglianese

Next Shares (with blinkers, on right), who is graded stakes placed on turf at Saratoga, will make his first start off a near 18-month layoff in Tuesday’s third race at Ellis Park.  Photo by Coglianese Photos

Ellis Park Full-Card Analysis & Selections: Tuesday, July 4, 2017

The Tuesday, July 4 Independence Day program at Ellis Park has a nine races on the docket including the featured eighth, a $42,000 optional claiming/”money since” allowance event for three-year-olds and upward going eight-furlongs on the grass.

The Green Sheet had a pair of winners on Monday’s eight-race program in Henderson in addition to a pair of trifectas, including a $130.80 score in the third race on the card. On the day, however, The Sheet had a negative 35 percent return on investment (ROI)*, or a flat-bet loss of 70 cents for each two dollars wagered on its top selections.

Three days into the meet, The Sheet is winning at a 23 percent clip–its top selection in each race has finished in the money 50 percent of time.

For FREE full-card analysis and selections for the Monday, July 4 program at Ellis Park, click HERE.

*Return on investment is calculated by placing a hypothetical $2 win wager on all top selections and dividing the net profit by the total amount wagered.

 

Header image: “Walking Ring, Greentree Stable, Saratoga,” oil on panel by Vaughn Flannery (American, 1898 – 1955)

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