Ellis Park: Day 3, Monday, July 3, 2017

ellis_park_water_tower_coady

Live racing resumes at Ellis Park on Monday, July 3. Post time for the first of eight races is 1:50 P.M. Eastern. Photo by Coady Photography

Ellis Park Full-Card Analysis: Monday, July 3, 2017

A special Monday, Fourth of July weekend program at Ellis Park has an eight-race program in the offing highlighted by the featured sixth race on the card, a $41,000 entry-level allowance contest for fillies and mares three-years-old and upward going five and a half-panels on the grass.

The race attracted a full field of 11 fillies led by the 3-1 morning line favorite Prudence, a four-year-old dark bay or brown daughter of Pleasantly Perfect owned by Calumet Farm and trained by Rusty Arnold.

The Green Sheet gave out two winners on Sunday’s nine-race program in Henderson but had a negative 41 percent return on investment (ROI)*, or a flat-bet loss of 82 cents for each two dollars wagered on its top selections.

Two days into the meet, The Sheet is winning at a 22 percent clip–its top selection in each race has finished in the money 50 percent of time.

For FREE full-card analysis and selections for the Monday, July 3 program at Ellis Park, click HERE.

*Return on investment is calculated by placing a hypothetical $2 win wager on all top selections and dividing the net profit by the total amount wagered.

 

Header image: “Walking Ring, Greentree Stable, Saratoga,” oil on panel by Vaughn Flannery (American, 1898 – 1955)

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s