Ellis Park: Day 2, Sunday, July 2, 2017

counterforce_wide_angle_coady

Winchell Thoroughbreds, LLC’s Counterforce (at left, white cap) is the 2-1 morning line favorite in the fourth race at Ellis Park on Sunday, July 2. Photo by Coady Photography

 

Ellis Park Full-Card Analysis: Sunday, July 2, 2017

The Fourth of July extended opening weekend at Ellis Park rolls onward on Sunday, July 2 with a nine-race program on tap and a $41,000, one-mile entry-level allowance affair on the grass going as the featured eighth race on the program.

Allied Racing Stable, LLC’s American Cowgirl is the 3-1 morning line choice in the field of 12 fillies and mares, as the bay daughter of Cowboy Cal is coming of a respectable fourth-place effort on the weeds at Churchill Downs and has never been worse than second on grass at Ellis Park. She will break from post 11.

The Green Sheet had a pair of winners on Saturday’s nine-race program in Henderson and gave out a $224 trifecta in the fifth race on the card. However, on the day, The Sheet had a negative 34 percent return on investment (ROI)*, or a flat-bet loss of 69 cents for each two dollars wagered on its top selections.

One day into the nascent meet, The Sheet is winning at a 22 percent clip–its top selection in each race has finished in the money 56 percent of time.

For FREE full-card analysis and selections for the Sunday, July 2 program at Ellis Park, click HERE.

*Return on investment is calculated by placing a hypothetical $2 win wager on all top selections and dividing the net profit by the total amount wagered.

 

Header image: “Walking Ring, Greentree Stable, Saratoga,” oil on panel by Vaughn Flannery (American, 1898 – 1955)

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